When short-term rates sit above long-term rates, traders call it an inversion โ and every headline suddenly says "recession." That signal has a real track record, but it is not a crystal ball and it is not instant. This one is about what the curve is actually measuring, why banks and markets care, and the ways people overread a single chart. Historically the lag runs from months to years, and false alarms happen. Not investment advice โ just how the plumbing works. #economics #yieldcurve #recession
















