What Full Employment Really Means for Wages

About this video

"Full employment" does not mean every person has a job. It means unemployment is low enough that wage pressure starts to matter โ€” and that threshold is messier than the headline rate suggests. This video is about what labor markets do at the top of the cycle: bargaining power, inflation risk, and why the last fraction of unemployment is the expensive part for policymakers. Not career or investment advice. #employment #wages #economics

From the video

The Promise of Full Employment
The Promise of Full Employment
The Catch
The Catch
NAIRU = Speed Limit
NAIRU = Speed Limit
What Full Employment Really Means for Wages
Unemployment at 3.4%
Unemployment at 3.4%
Prime-Age Participation Near Highs
Prime-Age Participation Near Highs
Wage Growth Accelerates
Wage Growth Accelerates
Low-Wage Workers Win
Low-Wage Workers Win
Competition for Workers
Competition for Workers
The Good Side
The Good Side
Spiral Risk
Spiral Risk
1970s Spiral
1970s Spiral

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What Full Employment Really Means for Wages